Brexit is once again starting to rise up
the agendas of real estate investors after being pushed to the sidelines by
Covid-19, according to new research from UBS.
The UK’s EU exit still poses risks for
international investors, but UBS believes it could actually create
opportunities for overseas and domestic buyers – particularly if a long-term
view can be taken and short-term volatility accepted.
There are no current signs of distress
in the market, but there is some movement in the value-add sector due to both
the coronavirus pandemic and Brexit, and this is where UBS believes value can
be found.
Also with few active buyers in the
market, some deals with attractive pricing are emerging, and with yields
compressing further on corporate debt and government bonds the yield spread
with real estate has widened.
In central London, despite the impact of
travel restrictions limiting activity as overseas investors make up 75% of the
market, yields of 4.25% in the City and 3.75% in the West End provide
attractive margins over the sub-3% yields in cities such as Berlin, Amsterdam
and Paris.